Saturday, May 18, 2024
HomeMarketBanks Could Tank if Rates Break Out

Banks Could Tank if Rates Break Out


It’s always nice to see bank stocks leading the market higher… but it doesn’t always work out that way.

This is why we always let the price action (and patterns) dictate our investment choices.

Bank Index Chart

For most of my career, though, bank stocks have liked rising interest rates.

But for the past 2 years, interest rates have risen nearly 5 percent, and the all-important  Index (for bank stocks) has declined nearly 50%.

I have not seen this in my 43-year career.

You can see this in today’s chart, where we compare the Bank Index to the Treasury Bond Yield.

As you can see, the 2-year yield is testing its 2007 highs.

As this occurs, a couple of questions come to mind… what if interest rates peak here, what will banks do? What if rates break out, what will banks do???

This dynamic is definitely worth watching. Add it to your trading radar… and stay tuned!


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